14 December, 2006

Arrgh! We're dying out

Blogging 'set to peak next year'

The blogging phenomenon is set to peak in 2007, according to technology predictions by analysts Gartner.

The analysts said that during the middle of next year the number of blogs will level out at about 100 million.

The firm has said that 200 million people have already stopped writing their blogs.

I actually believe what we'll get is:

1. Less rubbish blogs - the quality ones will stay

2. More collaborative blogs

3. More conventional websites turning into blogs, or incorporating blog software

4. More syndication/integration and use of RSS, which current comment software will have to evolve for


nzm said...

I'm not so sure that #3 will have a long life.

The trend now is to turn business websites into blogs, but for busy people, they just want the info when it's available, and preferably delivered to their email inboxes to read at their leisure.

As a busy professional, the last thing you want to be doing is trawling through blogs to get business info.

Professional business websites will be turning more to Content Management software to keep their sites up-to-date and fresh, and turning them into portals for their busines partners and clients to log into to get relevant info.

The professional bloggers will all get too busy at some stage to continue updating their blogs. They'll hire professional bloggers/writers/website designers to maintain them, and then fill them up with needless info just to try to keep them fresh and updated.

I've followed a few pro blogs for the last 12 months. They're starting to become more irrelevant to me for content than they used to be a few months ago.

Anonymous said...


beta.blogger.com is being blocked in Oman by our ISP (Omantel). Can't make new posts, but can comment! :(

Lirun said...

it certainly is a fascinating process to be watching..

global media is being revised right before our eyes..

John B. Chilton said...

Of course, leveling off (zero growth) is not the same as dying out. There's dying off to be sure, but the article is implying new blogs will replace them.

I think SD is right that quality of blogs will rise over time -- that is, that more often than not the rubbish blogs are also the one that become inactive.

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